Kashima Antlers vs Newcastle Jets: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kashima Antlersvs
Newcastle JetsThe model puts Kashima Antlers at 65%. The model leans toward Kashima Antlers. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kashima Antlers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Newcastle Jets have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kashima Antlers have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Kashima Antlers is priced at 1.456.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kashima Antlers at 65%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Newcastle Jets at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Kashima Antlers. Kashima Antlers is priced at 1.456. The draw is priced at 4.72. Newcastle Jets is priced at 6.45.
Kashima Antlers have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Kashima Antlers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Newcastle Jets have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kashima Antlers or Newcastle Jets?
Our model rates Kashima Antlers as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kashima Antlers vs Newcastle Jets?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Kashima Antlers wins, 0 draws, 0 Newcastle Jets wins.
Odds movement
League table
AFC Champions League Elite - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9be6497762417de84d7674 |
| 3 |  Kyoto Sanga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a884b457762417de8362217 |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9be6497762417de84d7673 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9c0bf07762417de84d9ab6 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 |  Gamba Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a884b457762417de8362218 |
| 8 |  Daejeon Hana Citizen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a884b457762417de8362217 |
| 9 |  Buriram United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9bfe0c7762417de84d8c59 |
| 10 |  Pohang Steelers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9be6497762417de84d7674 |
| 11 |  Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9be6497762417de84d7673 |
| 12 |  Shanghai Port | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9bfe0c7762417de84d8c52 |
| 13 |  Port | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9c0bf07762417de84d9ab6 |
| 14 |  Darul Takzim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 |  Ratchaburi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a9bfe0c7762417de84d8c52 |
| 16 |  Hanoi Police | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a884b457762417de8362218 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.