Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Colorado Rapidsvs
Seattle SoundersThe model puts Colorado Rapids at 53%. The model leans toward Colorado Rapids. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Colorado Rapids score more per game (2.0 at home vs 1.0 away).
- +Colorado Rapids creates more chances (16 vs 12 shots per game).
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- −Colorado Rapids are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Seattle Sounders are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Colorado Rapids controls more of the ball (58% vs 51%).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Colorado Rapids have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Seattle Sounders have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Colorado Rapids have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Colorado Rapids will be without Diop, Ku-DiPietro, Maziz Yo., Thompson, Steffen Z..
- Seattle Sounders will be without Gomez Y., Petkovic, Ragen, De La Vega P., Ferreira J..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Colorado Rapids at 53%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Seattle Sounders at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Colorado Rapids. Colorado Rapids is priced at 1.89. The draw is priced at 4. Seattle Sounders is priced at 3.64.
Colorado Rapids have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Seattle Sounders have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Colorado Rapids have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Seattle Sounders have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Colorado Rapids average 2 goals per game this season. Colorado Rapids average 58% possession. Seattle Sounders average 1 goals per game this season. Seattle Sounders average 51% possession.
The model gives 54% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Colorado Rapids or Seattle Sounders?
Our model rates Colorado Rapids as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Colorado Rapids wins, 5 draws, 4 Seattle Sounders wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Match statistics
Colorado Rapids
- 4Cannon R.
- 5Williams
- 6Holding R.
- 7Whittaker M.
- 8Ojediran
- 9Abu Farkhi
- 10Aaronson
- 12Atencio
- 29Navarro Mar.
- 31Beaudry
- 93Minoungou
- Diop (Missing Player)
- Ku-DiPietro (Missing Player)
- Maziz Yo. (Missing Player)
- Thompson (Missing Player)
- Steffen Z. (Missing Player)
Seattle Sounders
- 5Tolo
- 7Roldan C.
- 9Joveljic
- 11Rusnak
- 13Morris J.
- 16Roldan A.
- 17Arriola
- 26Thomas
- 37Brunell
- 39Wark
- 85Kossa-Rienzi
- Gomez Y. (Missing Player)
- Petkovic (Missing Player)
- Ragen (Questionable)
- De La Vega P. (Missing Player)
- Ferreira J. (Missing Player)
League table
USA. MLS| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 53:23 | 46 |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 43 |
| 3 |  Dallas | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 49:42 | 43 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 44:36 | 41 |
| 5 |  St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:35 | 41 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 40 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 33:32 | 35 |
| 8 |  Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 9 |  San Diego | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 42:42 | 30 |
| 10 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 31:40 | 30 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 37:39 | 29 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 37:43 | 29 |
| 13 |  Austin | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 32:44 | 29 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25:30 | 28 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 26:59 | 18 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.