Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Real Salt Lakevs
Vancouver WhitecapsThe model puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 52%. The model leans toward Vancouver Whitecaps. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- +Real Salt Lake are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Vancouver Whitecaps are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Real Salt Lake have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vancouver Whitecaps have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Real Salt Lake have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Real Salt Lake will be without Arias, Dillon, Engel, Glad J., Junqua S., Luna, Piol, Booth, Spierings.
- Vancouver Whitecaps will be without Cabrera Nakamura, Halbouni, Poku, Veselinovic R..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Real Salt Lake at 24%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 52%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Vancouver Whitecaps. Real Salt Lake is priced at 4.12. The draw is priced at 4.04. Vancouver Whitecaps is priced at 1.775.
Real Salt Lake have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Vancouver Whitecaps have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Real Salt Lake have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Vancouver Whitecaps have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Real Salt Lake average 2 goals per game this season. Real Salt Lake average 52% possession. Vancouver Whitecaps average 2 goals per game this season. Vancouver Whitecaps average 57% possession.
The model gives 67% for both teams to score. The model gives 70% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Real Salt Lake or Vancouver Whitecaps?
Our model rates Vancouver Whitecaps as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Real Salt Lake wins, 1 draws, 7 Vancouver Whitecaps wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Match statistics
Real Salt Lake
- 1Raffael
- 2Yedlin
- 3Henry Kob.
- 8Sanabria
- 9Guilavogui
- 12Lobjanidze
- 22Solans
- 26Quinton
- 34Moisa
- 92Caliskan N.
- 98Katranis
- Arias (Questionable)
- Dillon (Missing Player)
- Engel (Questionable)
- Glad J. (Missing Player)
- Junqua S. (Questionable)
- Luna (Questionable)
- Piol (Missing Player)
- Booth (Missing Player)
- Spierings (Questionable)
Vancouver Whitecaps
- 1Takaoka
- 2Laborda Ma.
- 7Sabaly
- 8Larraz
- 11Sabbi
- 18Ocampo
- 20Cubas A.
- 24White B.
- 25Gauld
- 28Johnson
- 33Blackmon
- Cabrera Nakamura (Missing Player)
- Halbouni (Missing Player)
- Poku (Missing Player)
- Veselinovic R. (Missing Player)
League table
USA. MLS| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 53:23 | 46 |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 43 |
| 3 |  Dallas | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 49:42 | 43 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 44:36 | 41 |
| 5 |  St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:35 | 41 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 40 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 33:32 | 35 |
| 8 |  Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 9 |  San Diego | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 42:42 | 30 |
| 10 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 31:40 | 30 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 37:39 | 29 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 37:43 | 29 |
| 13 |  Austin | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 32:44 | 29 |
| 14 |  Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25:30 | 28 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 26:59 | 18 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.