Hannover 96 vs VfL Bochum: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hannover 96vs
VfL BochumThe model puts Hannover 96 at 53%. The model leans toward Hannover 96. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Hannover 96.
- −The head-to-head record favours VfL Bochum (4-4-7).
- −Hannover 96 are dealing with notable absentees.
- +VfL Bochum are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Hannover 96 have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Bochum have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hannover 96 have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hannover 96 will be without Bundu, Hugonet, Tomiak.
- VfL Bochum will be without Cokaj, Drakas, Pannewig, Mbom J., Olsen O., Strompf.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hannover 96 at 53%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts VfL Bochum at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Hannover 96. Hannover 96 is priced at 1.79. The draw is priced at 3.92. VfL Bochum is priced at 3.9.
Hannover 96 have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. VfL Bochum have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hannover 96 have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. VfL Bochum have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Hannover 96 average 1 goals per game this season. Hannover 96 average 52% possession. VfL Bochum average 2 goals per game this season. VfL Bochum average 48% possession.
The model gives 54% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hannover 96 or VfL Bochum?
Our model rates Hannover 96 as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hannover 96 vs VfL Bochum?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 Hannover 96 wins, 4 draws, 7 VfL Bochum wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Hannover 96
- 5Ghita V.E.
- 8Taibi
- 10Hartel
- 11Pichler B.
- 17Allgeier
- 20Okon
- 23Thordarson S.
- 25Gindorf
- 29Oudenne
- 30Weinkauf
- 33Neubauer
- Bundu (Missing Player)
- Hugonet (Missing Player)
- Tomiak (Questionable)
VfL Bochum
- 1Horn T.
- 2Klaiber
- 5Mets K.
- 7Rasmussen C.
- 15Steinwender M.
- 17Holtmann
- 23Miyoshi
- 28Patino
- 32Wittek
- 33Hofmann
- 34Tom Meyer
- Cokaj (Missing Player)
- Drakas (Missing Player)
- Pannewig (Missing Player)
- Mbom J. (Missing Player)
- Olsen O. (Missing Player)
- Strompf (Missing Player)
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15:6 | 15 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 3 |  1. Heidenheim | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 11 |
| 5 |  1. Magdeburg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 6 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 7 |  Energie Cottbus | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 9 |  St. Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 10 |  Greuther Furth | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 11 |  VfL Osnabruck | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:11 | 6 |
| 12 |  Karlsruher | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 4 |
| 14 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Hannover 96 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Dynamo Dresden | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:12 | 4 |
| 17 |  Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Holstein | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.