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Argentina. Primera Division

Talleres de Cordoba vs Belgrano: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Talleres de Cordoba Talleres de CordobavsBelgrano Belgrano
Our predictionBelgrano to win
Model score: Low · 22/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Belgrano at 35%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Talleres de Cordoba33%
Draw32%
2 · Belgrano35%
1 · Talleres de CordobaDraw2 · Belgrano
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes2.46+15.2%
1X2Belgrano2.81+1.5%
1X2Draw2.91-0.4%
1X2Talleres de Cordoba2.83-1.1%
BTTSNo1.49-15.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Talleres de CordobaLWLDD
BelgranoWDDLL

Most likely scorelines

1-112.6%
1-09.9%
0-19.5%
2-18.3%
1-28.0%
0-07.5%
Team strength rating
Talleres de Cordoba
41
Belgrano
50

Expected goals

1.33Talleres de Cordoba
xG
1.27Belgrano
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Talleres de Cordoba Belgrano

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Belgrano win2.81Fair (+1.5%)
Double chanceBelgrano or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07963
11013831
27852
3342
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Talleres de Cordoba at 33%. The model puts the draw at 32%. The model puts Belgrano at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Talleres de Cordoba is priced at 2.83. The draw is priced at 2.912. Belgrano is priced at 2.81.

Talleres de Cordoba have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Belgrano have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 10 of their head-to-head meetings.

Talleres de Cordoba have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Belgrano have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Talleres de Cordoba or Belgrano?

Our model rates Belgrano as the most likely outcome at 35% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Talleres de Cordoba vs Belgrano?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 15 meetings: 3 Talleres de Cordoba wins, 10 draws, 2 Belgrano wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Argentina. Primera Division
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba1072113:722
2Defensa y Justicia1052313:1118
3Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima1053214:917
4Velez Sarsfield940512:717
5Boca Juniors1041514:1117
6CA Independiente Avellaneda1053210:817
7Newell's Old Boys1042411:816
8Club Atletico Lanus944111:813
9Union de Santa Fe1045117:1613
10San Lorenzo de Almagro103524:811
11Estudiantes de La Plata93519:910
12Deportivo Riestra102448:1010
13Platense102539:159
14Talleres de Cordoba1026211:178
15Central Cordoba de Santiago102627:138
Promotion - Argentina. Primera Division (Clausura - Play-off: Round of 16)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.