Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Atletico Tucumanvs
Barracas CentralThe model puts Atletico Tucuman at 47%. The model leans toward Atletico Tucuman. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Barracas Central.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Atletico Tucuman have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Barracas Central have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atletico Tucuman have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Atletico Tucuman is priced at 1.948.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Atletico Tucuman at 47%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Barracas Central at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Atletico Tucuman. Atletico Tucuman is priced at 1.948. The draw is priced at 3.04. Barracas Central is priced at 4.745.
Atletico Tucuman have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Barracas Central have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Atletico Tucuman have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Barracas Central have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Barracas Central are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Atletico Tucuman or Barracas Central?
Our model rates Atletico Tucuman as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico Tucuman wins, 1 draws, 3 Barracas Central wins.
League table
Argentina. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 22 |
| 2 |  Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Boca Juniors | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 6 |  CA Independiente Avellaneda | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 17 |
| 7 |  Newell's Old Boys | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:8 | 16 |
| 8 |  Club Atletico Lanus | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 9 |  Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 10 |  San Lorenzo de Almagro | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4:8 | 11 |
| 11 |  Estudiantes de La Plata | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 13 |  Platense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 14 |  Talleres de Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:17 | 8 |
| 15 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:13 | 8 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.