CA Independiente Avellaneda vs Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
CA Independiente Avellanedavs
Instituto Atletico Central CordobaThe model puts CA Independiente Avellaneda at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- CA Independiente Avellaneda have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CA Independiente Avellaneda have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- CA Independiente Avellaneda is priced at 2.459.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts CA Independiente Avellaneda at 39%. The model puts the draw at 33%. The model puts Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. CA Independiente Avellaneda is priced at 2.459. The draw is priced at 2.959. Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba is priced at 3.245.
CA Independiente Avellaneda have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
CA Independiente Avellaneda have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, CA Independiente Avellaneda or Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba?
Our model rates CA Independiente Avellaneda as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for CA Independiente Avellaneda vs Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 CA Independiente Avellaneda wins, 5 draws, 5 Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba wins.
League table
Argentina. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 22 |
| 2 |  Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Boca Juniors | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 6 | CA Independiente Avellaneda | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 17 |
| 7 |  Newell's Old Boys | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:8 | 16 |
| 8 |  Club Atletico Lanus | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 9 |  Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 10 |  San Lorenzo de Almagro | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4:8 | 11 |
| 11 |  Estudiantes de La Plata | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 13 |  Platense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 14 |  Talleres de Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:17 | 8 |
| 15 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:13 | 8 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.