Rubin Kazan vs Dynamo Moscow: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Rubin Kazanvs
Dynamo MoscowThe model puts Dynamo Moscow at 48%. The model leans toward Dynamo Moscow. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Rubin Kazan (8-3-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Rubin Kazan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dynamo Moscow have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rubin Kazan have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Dynamo Moscow is priced at 1.92.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Rubin Kazan at 26%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Dynamo Moscow at 48%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Dynamo Moscow. Rubin Kazan is priced at 4. The draw is priced at 3.54. Dynamo Moscow is priced at 1.92.
Rubin Kazan have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. Dynamo Moscow have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Rubin Kazan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Dynamo Moscow have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rubin Kazan or Dynamo Moscow?
Our model rates Dynamo Moscow as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rubin Kazan vs Dynamo Moscow?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 8 Rubin Kazan wins, 3 draws, 4 Dynamo Moscow wins.
League table
Russia. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 |  CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 |  Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Zenit Saint Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 |  Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 8 |  Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 |  Krylia Sovetov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 |  Akhmat | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 11 |  Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 12 |  Rostov | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 13 |  Akron Tolyatti | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 15 |  Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 |  Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.