Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Krylia Sovetovvs
Spartak MoscowThe model puts Spartak Moscow at 57%. The model leans toward Spartak Moscow. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Spartak Moscow.
- −The head-to-head record favours Krylia Sovetov (10-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Krylia Sovetov have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Spartak Moscow have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Krylia Sovetov have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Spartak Moscow is priced at 1.632.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Krylia Sovetov at 21%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Spartak Moscow at 57%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Spartak Moscow. Krylia Sovetov is priced at 4.98. The draw is priced at 4.14. Spartak Moscow is priced at 1.632.
Krylia Sovetov have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings. Spartak Moscow have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Krylia Sovetov have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Spartak Moscow have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Krylia Sovetov or Spartak Moscow?
Our model rates Spartak Moscow as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 10 Krylia Sovetov wins, 1 draws, 4 Spartak Moscow wins.
League table
Russia. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 |  CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Zenit Saint Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 |  Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 8 |  Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 |  Akhmat | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 11 |  Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 12 |  Rostov | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 13 |  Akron Tolyatti | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 15 |  Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 |  Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.