Krasnodar vs Zenit Saint Petersburg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Krasnodarvs
Zenit Saint PetersburgThe model puts Krasnodar at 37%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Krasnodar (9-4-2).
- +Recent form favours Krasnodar.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Krasnodar have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zenit Saint Petersburg have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Krasnodar have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Krasnodar is priced at 2.936.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Krasnodar at 37%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Zenit Saint Petersburg at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Krasnodar is priced at 2.936. The draw is priced at 3.3. Zenit Saint Petersburg is priced at 2.435.
Krasnodar have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. Zenit Saint Petersburg have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Krasnodar have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Krasnodar are on 2 wins in a row. Zenit Saint Petersburg have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Krasnodar or Zenit Saint Petersburg?
Our model rates Krasnodar as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Krasnodar vs Zenit Saint Petersburg?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 9 Krasnodar wins, 4 draws, 2 Zenit Saint Petersburg wins.
League table
Russia. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 |  CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 |  Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit Saint Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 |  Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 8 |  Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 |  Krylia Sovetov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 |  Akhmat | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 11 |  Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 12 |  Rostov | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 13 |  Akron Tolyatti | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 15 |  Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 |  Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.