1. Koln vs Borussia Monchengladbach: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
1. Kolnvs
Borussia MonchengladbachThe model puts 1. Koln at 50%. The model leans toward 1. Koln. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours 1. Koln.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- 1. Koln have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Borussia Monchengladbach have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Koln have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- 1. Koln is priced at 1.95.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts 1. Koln at 50%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Borussia Monchengladbach at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward 1. Koln. 1. Koln is priced at 1.95. The draw is priced at 4. Borussia Monchengladbach is priced at 3.44.
1. Koln have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Borussia Monchengladbach have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
1. Koln have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Borussia Monchengladbach have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
1. Koln average 2 goals per game this season. 1. Koln average 45% possession. Borussia Monchengladbach average 0 goals per game this season. Borussia Monchengladbach average 46% possession.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, 1. Koln or Borussia Monchengladbach?
Our model rates 1. Koln as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for 1. Koln vs Borussia Monchengladbach?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 1. Koln wins, 3 draws, 7 Borussia Monchengladbach wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Germany. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bayern Munich | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 10 |
| 3 |  Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 5 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 6 |  1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 7 |  Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  RasenBallsport Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 11 |  Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 12 |  Paderborn 07 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. Koln | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 16 |  Hamburger | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:13 | 3 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:17 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:16 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.