D.C. United vs Paderborn 07: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
D.C. Unitedvs
Paderborn 07The model puts Paderborn 07 at 46%. The model leans toward Paderborn 07. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- D.C. United have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Paderborn 07 is priced at 2.03.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts D.C. United at 30%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Paderborn 07 at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Paderborn 07. D.C. United is priced at 3.2. The draw is priced at 4.02. Paderborn 07 is priced at 2.03.
D.C. United have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 33% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, D.C. United or Paderborn 07?
Our model rates Paderborn 07 as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for D.C. United vs Paderborn 07?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.