Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers SCO: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Stade Brestois 29vs
Angers SCOThe model puts Stade Brestois 29 at 50%. The model leans toward Stade Brestois 29. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Angers SCO.
- +The head-to-head record favours Stade Brestois 29 (8-3-4).
- −Stade Brestois 29 are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Stade Brestois 29 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Angers SCO have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stade Brestois 29 have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Stade Brestois 29 will be without Le Guen, Versini, Diambou, Chardonnet B..
- Angers SCO will be without Simbakoli.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Stade Brestois 29 at 50%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Angers SCO at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Stade Brestois 29. Stade Brestois 29 is priced at 1.875. The draw is priced at 3.76. Angers SCO is priced at 3.94.
Stade Brestois 29 have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. Angers SCO have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Stade Brestois 29 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Angers SCO have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Stade Brestois 29 average 1 goals per game this season. Stade Brestois 29 average 45% possession. Angers SCO average 2 goals per game this season. Angers SCO average 47% possession.
The model gives 55% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Stade Brestois 29 or Angers SCO?
Our model rates Stade Brestois 29 as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers SCO?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 8 Stade Brestois 29 wins, 3 draws, 4 Angers SCO wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.