Lille OSC vs Le Havre: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Lille OSCvs
Le HavreThe model puts Lille OSC at 68%. The model leans toward Lille OSC. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Lille OSC (9-4-2).
- +Recent form favours Lille OSC.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Lille OSC have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Le Havre have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lille OSC have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Lille OSC is priced at 1.435.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 12 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Lille OSC at 68%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Le Havre at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Lille OSC. Lille OSC is priced at 1.435. The draw is priced at 4.6. Le Havre is priced at 7.1.
Lille OSC have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. Le Havre have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Lille OSC have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Le Havre have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Lille OSC average 2 goals per game this season. Lille OSC average 44% possession. Le Havre average 1 goals per game this season. Le Havre average 43% possession.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Lille OSC or Le Havre?
Our model rates Lille OSC as the most likely outcome at 68% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Lille OSC vs Le Havre?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 9 Lille OSC wins, 4 draws, 2 Le Havre wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
France. Ligue 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Monaco | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 2 |  Lyon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:2 | 11 |
| 3 |  Paris | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille OSC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Stade Rennais | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 7 |  Angers SCO | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 9 |  Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 10 |  Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 13 |  Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 14 |  Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 15 |  RC Lens | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 4 |
| 16 |  Troyes AC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:11 | 4 |
| 17 |  Olympique de Marseille | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.