Club Llaneros vs Club Atletico Nacional SA: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Club Llanerosvs
Club Atletico Nacional SAThe model puts Club Atletico Nacional SA at 52%. The model leans toward Club Atletico Nacional SA. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Club Llaneros (3-0-0).
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Club Llaneros have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Atletico Nacional SA have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Llaneros have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Club Atletico Nacional SA is priced at 1.74.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Club Llaneros at 22%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Club Atletico Nacional SA at 52%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Club Atletico Nacional SA. Club Llaneros is priced at 4.5. The draw is priced at 3.54. Club Atletico Nacional SA is priced at 1.74.
Club Llaneros have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Club Llaneros have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Club Atletico Nacional SA have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Club Llaneros or Club Atletico Nacional SA?
Our model rates Club Atletico Nacional SA as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Club Llaneros vs Club Atletico Nacional SA?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 3 Club Llaneros wins, 0 draws, 0 Club Atletico Nacional SA wins.
Odds movement
League table
Colombia. Categoria Primera A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  America de Cali | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:5 | 20 |
| 2 |  Millonarios | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Nacional SA | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 18 |
| 4 |  Atletico Bucaramanga | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Club Independiente Santa Fe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:10 | 16 |
| 6 |  Independiente Medellin | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 15 |
| 9 |  Once Caldas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aguilas Doradas | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 11 | Club Llaneros | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 12 |  Internacional de Bogota | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 13 |  Cucuta Deportivo | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 14 |  Fortaleza Zipaquira | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Pasto | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Alianza Valledupar | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 9:20 | 8 |
| 17 |  Boyaca Chico | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7:18 | 8 |
| 18 |  Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 19 |  Deportivo Pereira | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 20 |  Junior de Barranquilla | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12:14 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.