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AFC Champions League 2

Al Rayyan vs Al-Faisaly Amman: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Al Rayyan Al RayyanvsAl-Faisaly Amman Al-Faisaly Amman
Our predictionAl Rayyan to win
Model score: Medium · 50/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Al Rayyan at 71%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Al Rayyan71%
Draw18%
2 · Al-Faisaly Amman10%
1 · Al RayyanDraw2 · Al-Faisaly Amman
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Al Rayyan
73
Al-Faisaly Amman
36

Most likely scorelines

2-016.6%
1-015.1%
3-012.1%
2-18.0%
1-17.3%
0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.20Al Rayyan
xG
0.48Al-Faisaly Amman
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score34%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Al Rayyan Al-Faisaly Amman

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Al Rayyan win1.31Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
073
11572
21782
31261
473
531

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Al Rayyan1.31+0.3%
1X2Al-Faisaly Amman8.85-0.1%
1X2Draw5.04-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Al Rayyan at 71%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Al-Faisaly Amman at 10%.

The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0. The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Al Rayyan is priced at 1.308. The draw is priced at 5.04. Al-Faisaly Amman is priced at 8.85.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Al Rayyan or Al-Faisaly Amman?

Our model rates Al Rayyan as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Al Rayyan vs Al-Faisaly Amman?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

46.2034.8923.5812.270.95
Home 1.01 Draw 23.00 Away 34.00

Match statistics

Player of the matchMagalhaes da Silva G.Al Rayyan8.1
Garcia6'
Guedes Ro.22'
Al Aaeldin41'
45+1'Simpore
Amaro46'
46'Al-Madadha
46'Al Rawabdeh
59'🟨Anas Badawi
Shehata60'
Wesley60'

Al Rayyan

Starting XI
  • 4De Sart J.6.6
  • 5Garcia7.4
  • 8Abdulsallam7.7
  • 10Guedes Ro.7.6
  • 17Aymen6.8
  • 22Alganehi A.6.5
  • 25Edmilson6.4
  • 30Al Aaeldin6.3
  • 33Diakite6.4
  • 40Magalhaes da Silva G.8.1
  • 57Abunada M. I.7.3
Coach: Vicente Moreno

Al-Faisaly Amman

Starting XI
  • 3Khairullah
  • 6Simpore6.2
  • 7Ersan6.5
  • 10Al-Attar
  • 12Haddad Mo.6.0
  • 15Hammad
  • 16Hassim A.
  • 21Anas Badawi6.3
  • 23Haddad E.6.5
  • 27Al-Yahyaei6.3
  • 99Alfakhori5.9
Coach: Tarek Mostafa

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'10

Al Rayyan make it count (Garcia (6')). It's 1–0 at this point.

6'Garcia
15–45'31

An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Guedes Ro. (22'), Al Aaeldin (41'), Simpore (45+1')). Score moves to 3–1.

22'Guedes Ro.41'Al Aaeldin45+1'Simpore
Half-time

Half-time score: Al Rayyan 3 – 1 Al-Faisaly Amman.

45–75'31

No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 3–1.

46'Amaro46'Al-Madadha46'Al Rawabdeh59'🟨Anas Badawi60'Shehata60'Wesley
75–90'+31

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (3–1)

Full time: Al Rayyan 31 Al-Faisaly Amman

League table

AFC Champions League 2
#TeamGPWLTGPtsForm
1Al-Wahda Abu Dhabi00000:00
2Nasaf Qarshi00000:00
3Al Kuwait SC00000:00
4Al Khalidiya00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play-off)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.