Lion City Sailors vs BG Pathum United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Lion City Sailorsvs
BG Pathum UnitedThe model puts Lion City Sailors at 47%. The model leans toward Lion City Sailors. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Lion City Sailors have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- BG Pathum United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
- Lion City Sailors is priced at 1.998.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
Lion City Sailors have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. BG Pathum United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model puts Lion City Sailors at 47%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts BG Pathum United at 28%.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 51% for both teams to score.
Lion City Sailors is priced at 1.998. BG Pathum United is priced at 3.35. The market leans toward Lion City Sailors.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Lion City Sailors or BG Pathum United?
Our model rates Lion City Sailors as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Lion City Sailors vs BG Pathum United?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Lion City Sailors wins, 1 draws, 0 BG Pathum United wins.
Odds movement
League table
AFC Champions League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Wahda Abu Dhabi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 2 |  Nasaf Qarshi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Al Khalidiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 |  Al Kuwait SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.