AFC Champions League 2

Shanghai Shenhua vs Tampines Rovers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Shanghai Shenhuavs

Tampines Rovers

Our predictionShanghai Shenhua to win

Model score: Medium · 50/100

Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Shanghai Shenhua at 71%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Shanghai Shenhua71%

Draw18%

2 · Tampines Rovers11%

1 · Shanghai ShenhuaDraw2 · Tampines Rovers

Full team comparison →

Team strength rating

Shanghai Shenhua

Tampines Rovers

Most likely scorelines

2-016.3%

1-015.0%

3-011.9%

2-18.1%

1-17.5%

0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.18Shanghai Shenhua

0.50Tampines Rovers

Over 2.5 goals50%

Both teams to score35%

Match DNA

Shanghai Shenhua Tampines Rovers

Key points

The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
The model puts Tampines Rovers at 11%.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Shanghai Shenhua win1.31Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2
0	7	3
1	15	7	2
2	16	8	2
3	12	6	1
4	6	3
5	3	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Shanghai Shenhua1.31+0.3%

1X2Tampines Rovers8.10-0.1%

1X2Draw5.24-0.2%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Shanghai Shenhua at 71%. The market leans toward Shanghai Shenhua.

Shanghai Shenhua is priced at 1.313. Tampines Rovers is priced at 8.1. The draw is priced at 5.24.

The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Tampines Rovers at 11%.

The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals. The model gives 35% for both teams to score.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →