Al Khalidiya vs Nasaf Qarshi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al Khalidiyavs
Nasaf QarshiThe model puts Al Khalidiya at 46%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al Khalidiya is priced at 2.028.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Al Khalidiya at 46%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Nasaf Qarshi at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Al Khalidiya. Al Khalidiya is priced at 2.028. The draw is priced at 3.25. Nasaf Qarshi is priced at 3.64.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al Khalidiya or Nasaf Qarshi?
Our model rates Al Khalidiya as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al Khalidiya vs Nasaf Qarshi?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Al Khalidiya
- 3Adel
- 6Sabbar
- 9Da Silva Moreira G.W.
- 15Rachid Boumessous
- 20Bouhra
- 21Mendy Do.
- 24Velkovski
- 25Drozdek
- 28Maswanganyi
- 30Shili
- 33El Garably
Nasaf Qarshi
- 1Nematov A.
- 2Davronov
- 4Komilov
- 5Gaybullaev
- 7Shala
- 8Abdirahmatov
- 10Abdukhalikov B.
- 14Mukhiddinov
- 15Rustamov
- 70Gulomov
- 92Eshmurodov
League table
AFC Champions League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Wahda Abu Dhabi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Nasaf Qarshi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Al Kuwait SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Al Khalidiya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.