AFC Champions League 2

Machida Zelvia vs Preah Khan Reach Svay Rieng: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Machida Zelviavs

Preah Khan Reach Svay Rieng

Our predictionMachida Zelvia to win

Model score: Medium · 50/100

Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Machida Zelvia at 82%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Machida Zelvia82%

Draw11%

2 · Preah Khan Reach Svay Rieng6%

1 · Machida ZelviaDraw2 · Preah Khan Reach Svay Rieng

Full team comparison →

Team strength rating

Machida Zelvia

Preah Khan Reach Svay Rieng

Most likely scorelines

2-019.3%

1-016.1%

3-015.5%

4-09.3%

0-06.7%

2-15.8%

Expected goals

2.40Machida Zelvia

0.30Preah Khan Reach Svay Rieng

Over 2.5 goals51%

Both teams to score24%

Match DNA

Machida Zelvia Preah Khan Reach Svay Rieng

Key points

The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
The model gives 24% for both teams to score.
Machida Zelvia is priced at 1.134.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Machida Zelvia win1.13Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1
0	7	2
1	16	5
2	19	6
3	15	5
4	9	3
5	4	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Machida Zelvia1.13+0.2%

1X2Preah Khan Reach Svay Rieng14.20-0.1%

1X2Draw8.10-0.1%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Machida Zelvia at 82%. The market leans toward Machida Zelvia.

The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.

The model gives 24% for both teams to score.

Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →