Phnom Penh Crown vs Kuching: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Kuching at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty.
- The market frames this as a close contest.
- Kuching is priced at 2.476.
- The model gives 53% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Kuching at 37%. The model puts Phnom Penh Crown at 34%. The model puts the draw at 29%.
Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. The market frames this as a close contest.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Kuching is priced at 2.476. Phnom Penh Crown is priced at 2.767. The draw is priced at 3.225.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Phnom Penh Crown or Kuching?
Our model rates Kuching as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Phnom Penh Crown vs Kuching?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
League table
AFC Champions League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.