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AFC Champions League 2

Al-Shorta Baghdad vs Al-Seeb Sports Club: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Al-Shorta Baghdad Al-Shorta BaghdadvsAl-Seeb Sports Club Al-Seeb Sports Club
Our predictionAl-Shorta Baghdad to win
Model score: Medium · 46/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Al-Shorta Baghdad at 51%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Al-Shorta Baghdad51%
Draw27%
2 · Al-Seeb Sports Club22%
1 · Al-Shorta BaghdadDraw2 · Al-Seeb Sports Club
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Al-Shorta Baghdad
61
Al-Seeb Sports Club
44

Most likely scorelines

1-012.5%
1-111.1%
2-011.0%
2-19.7%
0-07.2%
3-06.4%

Expected goals

1.75Al-Shorta Baghdad
xG
0.89Al-Seeb Sports Club
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score49%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Al-Shorta Baghdad Al-Seeb Sports Club

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Al-Shorta Baghdad win1.85Fair
Double chanceAl-Shorta Baghdad or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0763
1131151
2111041
3663
4321
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Al-Shorta Baghdad1.85+0.4%
1X2Al-Seeb Sports Club4.09-0.2%
1X2Draw3.43-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Al-Shorta Baghdad at 51%. The market leans toward Al-Shorta Baghdad. Al-Shorta Baghdad is priced at 1.852.

The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Al-Seeb Sports Club at 22%.

The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Al-Shorta Baghdad or Al-Seeb Sports Club?

Our model rates Al-Shorta Baghdad as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Al-Shorta Baghdad vs Al-Seeb Sports Club?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

23.1017.5912.086.571.06
Home 1.12 Draw 7.53 Away 23.00

Match statistics

Player of the matchAl Khamisi A.Al-Seeb Sports Club8.9
Ali H.51'
62'Al Ajmi
62'Abdulsalam Al-Shukaili
62'Jawad Khalifa Mubarak Al-Ezzi

Al-Shorta Baghdad

Starting XI
  • 4Ramirez6.4
  • 5Jabbar M.7.4
  • 9Ali H.8.1
  • 10Leonel Christian Ateba6.2
  • 11Shakir7.9
  • 12Hachim Ja.6.1
  • 14Moumouni6.7
  • 15Yahia7.6
  • 23Cucu
  • 31Zero А.6.3
  • 33Barco8.5
Coach: Трабельси

Al-Seeb Sports Club

Starting XI
  • 1Al-Mukhaini4.6
  • 2Ramadhan
  • 5Al-Shaqsy6.8
  • 6Al Khamisi A.8.9
  • 7Al Aghbari8.1
  • 11Meye
  • 12Fawaz6.4
  • 17Al-Busaidi8.3
  • 19Oladapo A.6.8
  • 26Al-Alawi6.0
  • 77Al Rawahi6.7
Coach: Florin Motroc

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'00

Cautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)

15–45'00

A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (0–0)

Half-time

Half-time score: Al-Shorta Baghdad 0 – 0 Al-Seeb Sports Club.

45–75'10

Al-Shorta Baghdad make it count (Ali H. (51')). It's 1–0 at this point.

51'Ali H.62'Al Ajmi62'Abdulsalam Al-Shukaili62'Jawad Khalifa Mubarak Al-Ezzi
75–90'+10

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–0)

Full time: Al-Shorta Baghdad 10 Al-Seeb Sports Club

League table

AFC Champions League 2
#TeamGPWLTGPtsForm
1Al-Wahda Abu Dhabi00000:00
2Nasaf Qarshi00000:00
3Al Kuwait SC00000:00
4Al Khalidiya00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play-off)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.