Al Nahda Al Buraimi vs Al-Taawon: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Al-Taawon at 50%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al-Taawon is priced at 1.861.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Al Nahda Al Buraimi at 22%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Al-Taawon at 50%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Al-Taawon. Al Nahda Al Buraimi is priced at 4.315. The draw is priced at 3.265. Al-Taawon is priced at 1.861.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al Nahda Al Buraimi or Al-Taawon?
Our model rates Al-Taawon as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al Nahda Al Buraimi vs Al-Taawon?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Al Nahda Al Buraimi
- 3Al Rawahi
- 9Al Ghaferi
- 10Al Yahmadi J.
- 11Al Harthi
- 14Ahmedi
- 22Anderson D.
- 23Al Saadi
- 24Boumal
- 25Al Habashi
- 47Al Kaabi A.
- 88Rusheid
Al-Taawon
- 1Mailson Francisco de Farias
- 5Belaid
- 6Alhurayji
- 7Al-Kuwaykibi
- 10Bajrami N.
- 14Mohamed
- 18Mahdioui
- 19Dorley O.
- 47El Bahraoui
- 88Plamenov Petkov M.
- 93Al Saluli
League table
AFC Champions League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.