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AFC Champions League 2

Al Nahda Al Buraimi vs Al-Taawon: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Al Nahda Al Buraimi Al Nahda Al BuraimivsAl-Taawon Al-Taawon
Our predictionAl-Taawon to win
Model score: Low · 21/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Al-Taawon at 50%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Al Nahda Al Buraimi22%
Draw28%
2 · Al-Taawon50%
1 · Al Nahda Al BuraimiDraw2 · Al-Taawon
Full team comparison

Most likely scorelines

0-112.1%
1-112.0%
0-29.5%
1-29.4%
0-07.7%
1-07.6%
Team strength rating
Al Nahda Al Buraimi
44
Al-Taawon
60

Expected goals

0.99Al Nahda Al Buraimi
xG
1.57Al-Taawon
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score50%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Al Nahda Al Buraimi Al-Taawon

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Al-Taawon win1.86Fair
Double chanceAl-Taawon or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
08121052
1812952
24652
3122
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Al Nahda Al Buraimi4.32+0.7%
1X2Draw3.27-0.3%
1X2Al-Taawon1.86-0.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Al Nahda Al Buraimi at 22%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Al-Taawon at 50%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Al-Taawon. Al Nahda Al Buraimi is priced at 4.315. The draw is priced at 3.265. Al-Taawon is priced at 1.861.

The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Al Nahda Al Buraimi or Al-Taawon?

Our model rates Al-Taawon as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Al Nahda Al Buraimi vs Al-Taawon?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

4.874.063.252.441.63
Home 4.26 Draw 3.65 Away 1.78

Match statistics

Player of the matchPlamenov Petkov M.Al-Taawon8.8

Al Nahda Al Buraimi

Starting XI
  • 3Al Rawahi
  • 9Al Ghaferi5.9
  • 10Al Yahmadi J.6.0
  • 11Al Harthi5.7
  • 14Ahmedi
  • 22Anderson D.6.0
  • 23Al Saadi6.8
  • 24Boumal6.7
  • 25Al Habashi6.8
  • 47Al Kaabi A.
  • 88Rusheid
Coach: Scott Calderwood

Al-Taawon

Starting XI
  • 1Mailson Francisco de Farias7.4
  • 5Belaid6.4
  • 6Alhurayji7.2
  • 7Al-Kuwaykibi7.9
  • 10Bajrami N.7.2
  • 14Mohamed6.3
  • 18Mahdioui8.1
  • 19Dorley O.6.3
  • 47El Bahraoui7.2
  • 88Plamenov Petkov M.8.8
  • 93Al Saluli8.2
Coach: Al Showaikh H.

League table

AFC Champions League 2
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Al-Wahda Abu Dhabi00000:00
2Nasaf Qarshi00000:00
3Al Kuwait SC00000:00
4Al Khalidiya00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play-off)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.