Kvant Obninsk vs Avangard Kursk: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kvant Obninskvs
Avangard KurskThe model puts Avangard Kursk at 61%. The model leans toward Avangard Kursk. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Kvant Obninsk.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kvant Obninsk have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Avangard Kursk have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kvant Obninsk have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Avangard Kursk is priced at 1.43.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kvant Obninsk at 21%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Avangard Kursk at 61%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Avangard Kursk. Kvant Obninsk is priced at 5.21. The draw is priced at 5. Avangard Kursk is priced at 1.43.
Kvant Obninsk have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Avangard Kursk have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Kvant Obninsk have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Avangard Kursk have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kvant Obninsk or Avangard Kursk?
Our model rates Avangard Kursk as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kvant Obninsk vs Avangard Kursk?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 2 Kvant Obninsk wins, 0 draws, 3 Avangard Kursk wins.
Odds movement
League table
Russian Championship. League 2. Division B. Group 3| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Volna Kovernino | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 50:13 | 62 |
| 2 |  Spartak Tambov | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 42:14 | 57 |
| 3 |  Ryazan | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 39:15 | 44 |
| 4 |  Saturn Ramenskoye | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 45:34 | 44 |
| 5 |  Metallurg Lipetsk | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 45:28 | 44 |
| 6 |  Shumbrat Saransk | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 44:32 | 43 |
| 7 |  Salyut Belgorod | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42:24 | 43 |
| 8 |  Rodina Moscow III | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 44:39 | 34 |
| 9 | Avangard Kursk | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:32 | 30 |
| 10 |  Strogino Moscow | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 29:37 | 28 |
| 11 |  SKA-Khabarovsk II | 24 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 33:44 | 24 |
| 12 |  Zenit Penza | 23 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 24:43 | 24 |
| 13 |  Oryol | 24 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 26:44 | 23 |
| 14 |  Arsenal Tula II | 24 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 20:46 | 15 |
| 15 |  Rotor Volgograd II | 24 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 15:39 | 14 |
| 16 | Kvant Obninsk | 23 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 22:65 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.