Nice vs Strasbourg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nicevs
StrasbourgThe model puts Nice at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- −Nice are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Strasbourg are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Nice have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Strasbourg have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nice have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Nice will be without Abergel L., Bombito, Mendi A., Sanson M..
- Strasbourg will be without Godeau, Panichelli, Doukoure.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Nice at 43%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Strasbourg at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Nice is priced at 2.23. The draw is priced at 3.7. Strasbourg is priced at 2.99.
Nice have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Strasbourg have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Nice have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Strasbourg have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Nice average 1 goals per game this season. Nice average 59% possession. Strasbourg average 3 goals per game this season. Strasbourg average 44% possession.
The model gives 69% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nice or Strasbourg?
Our model rates Nice as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nice vs Strasbourg?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Nice wins, 4 draws, 6 Strasbourg wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Nice
- 5Abdelmonem
- 7Hein G.
- 9Amoura
- 11Vahi
- 23Diouf
- 27Nkunku
- 28Witsel
- 35Mandza Tsiendi
- 36Seidu
- 39Coulibaly
- 92Clauss
- Abergel L. (Missing Player)
- Bombito (Missing Player)
- Mendi A. (Missing Player)
- Sanson M. (Missing Player)
Strasbourg
- 1Jorgensen F.
- 10Reina
- 11Nanasi
- 16Antwi
- 21Demba
- 23Sousa
- 24Hogsberg L.
- 30Ortega
- 31Coulibaly
- 36Joaquin Martinez Gauna
- 80Yassine
- Godeau (Missing Player)
- Panichelli (Missing Player)
- Doukoure (Missing Player)
League table
France. Ligue 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille OSC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 4 |  Paris | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 6 |  Stade Rennais | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 9 |  RC Lens | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 7 |
| 10 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 11 |  Angers SCO | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 12 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 6 |
| 13 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 15 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 16 |  Troyes AC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:11 | 4 |
| 17 |  Olympique de Marseille | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4:8 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.