Stade Rennais vs Auxerre: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Stade Rennaisvs
AuxerreThe model puts Stade Rennais at 67%. The model leans toward Stade Rennais. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- +Auxerre are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Stade Rennais have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Auxerre have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stade Rennais have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Auxerre will be without Makosso, Mandengue, Diousse, Okoh, Senaya, Siwe, Fofana.
- Stade Rennais is priced at 1.416.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Stade Rennais at 67%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Auxerre at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Stade Rennais. Stade Rennais is priced at 1.416. The draw is priced at 5. Auxerre is priced at 6.75.
Stade Rennais have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Auxerre have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Stade Rennais have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Auxerre have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Stade Rennais average 2 goals per game this season. Stade Rennais average 46% possession. Auxerre average 2 goals per game this season. Auxerre average 42% possession.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 72% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Stade Rennais or Auxerre?
Our model rates Stade Rennais as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Stade Rennais vs Auxerre?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Stade Rennais wins, 5 draws, 5 Auxerre wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Stade Rennais
- 4Cresswell
- 9Lepaul
- 10Blas Lu.
- 11Al Tamari
- 18Nagida
- 21Rongier Va.
- 24Rouault
- 28Thomasson
- 30Samba B.
- 45Camara
- 95Frankowski
Auxerre
- 4Tuanzebe
- 5Danois
- 8Ahamada
- 9Archer C.
- 10Namaso
- 20Diomande S.
- 21Faivre R.
- 22Oppegard F.
- 23Diop
- 27Xi
- 92Akpa
- Makosso (Missing Player)
- Mandengue (Missing Player)
- Diousse (Missing Player)
- Okoh (Missing Player)
- Senaya (Missing Player)
- Siwe (Missing Player)
- Fofana (Missing Player)
League table
France. Ligue 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille OSC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 4 |  Paris | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 6 | Stade Rennais | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 9 |  RC Lens | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 7 |
| 10 |  Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 11 |  Angers SCO | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 12 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 6 |
| 13 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 16 |  Troyes AC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:11 | 4 |
| 17 |  Olympique de Marseille | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4:8 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.