UEFA Europa League

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Hapoel Be'er Shevavs

Dinamo Zagreb

Our predictionDinamo Zagreb to win

Model score: Medium · 40/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Dinamo Zagreb at 49%. The model leans toward Dinamo Zagreb. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours Hapoel Be'er Sheva.
+Hapoel Be'er Sheva are dealing with notable absentees.
−Dinamo Zagreb are dealing with notable absentees.

Win probabilities

1 · Hapoel Be'er Sheva28%

Draw23%

2 · Dinamo Zagreb49%

1 · Hapoel Be'er ShevaDraw2 · Dinamo Zagreb

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.26+7.7%

1X2Hapoel Be'er Sheva3.94+3.7%

1X2Draw3.82-1.7%

1X2Dinamo Zagreb1.86-2.0%

BTTSYes1.58-7.7%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Dinamo Zagreb

Most likely scorelines

1-112.3%

0-111.4%

1-29.2%

0-28.6%

1-08.2%

0-07.6%

Recent form

Hapoel Be'er ShevaWLDWL

Dinamo ZagrebLWWDL

Expected goals

1.08Hapoel Be'er Sheva

1.50Dinamo Zagreb

Over 2.5 goals47%

Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

Hapoel Be'er Sheva Dinamo Zagreb

Key points

Hapoel Be'er Sheva have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Dinamo Zagreb have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva will be without Diop, Levy R., Peretz E., Stoyanov, Biton Da..
Dinamo Zagreb will be without Goda B., Nsoki, Orlic, Stojakovic, Tabinas, Topic, Mudrazija, Nevistic, Rodriguez.
Dinamo Zagreb is priced at 1.86.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Dinamo Zagreb win1.86Fair (-2.0%)

Double chanceDinamo Zagreb or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	11	9	4	2
1	8	12	9	5	2
2	4	7	5	2
3	2	2	2
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Hapoel Be'er Sheva at 28%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Dinamo Zagreb at 49%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Dinamo Zagreb. Hapoel Be'er Sheva is priced at 3.94. The draw is priced at 3.82. Dinamo Zagreb is priced at 1.86.

Dinamo Zagreb have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Dinamo Zagreb have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Hapoel Be'er Sheva or Dinamo Zagreb?

Our model rates Dinamo Zagreb as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings: 0 Hapoel Be'er Sheva wins, 1 draws, 1 Dinamo Zagreb wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

Home 3.94 Draw 3.82 Away 1.86

Match statistics

Player of the matchBeljoDinamo Zagreb9.2

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Starting XI

1Marciano6.4
2Mizrahi7.4
4Vítor M7.4
5Amador6.0
8Kanaan8.3
9Ahmed6.3
15Nachmias I.7.5
20East J.6.8
23Hazut7.4
28Yehoshua6.4
45Abu Rumi6.5

Unavailable

Diop (Missing Player)
Levy R. (Missing Player)
Peretz E. (Missing Player)
Stoyanov (Missing Player)
Biton Da. (Missing Player)

Coach: Ran Kozuk

Dinamo Zagreb

Starting XI

8Zajc6.5
9Beljo9.2
10Stojkovic6.6
15Galešić9.1
17Ivanusec6.9
21Lisica6.4
22Vinlof7.0
24Kotarski6.8
26McKenna S.5.9
27Misic Jos.7.9
36Dominguez6.5

Unavailable

Goda B. (Missing Player)
Nsoki (Missing Player)
Orlic (Missing Player)
Stojakovic (Missing Player)
Tabinas (Missing Player)
Topic (Missing Player)
Mudrazija (Missing Player)
Nevistic (Missing Player)
Rodriguez (Missing Player)

Coach: Mario Kovacevic

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage

#	Team	G
1	Sunderland	0:0
2	Crystal Palace	0:0
3	Bournemouth	0:0
4	Real Sociedad	0:0
5	Celta	0:0
6	FC Salzburg	0:0
7	Sturm Graz	0:0
8	Viktoria Plzen	0:0
9	AC Sparta Prague	0:0
10	Anderlecht	0:0
11	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	0:0
12	Olympique de Marseille	0:0
13	Stade Rennais	0:0
14	Lyon	0:0
15	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:0
16	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0:0
17	Juventus	0:0
18	Milan	0:0
19	N.E.C.	0:0
20	AZ Alkmaar	0:0
21	S.C.U. Torreense	0:0
22	Levski Sofia	0:0
23	Dinamo Zagreb	0:0
24	AC Omonia	0:0
25	OFI Crete	0:0
26	Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0
27	Hapoel Be'er Sheva	0:0
28	Lillestrom	0:0
29	Jagiellonia Bialystok	0:0
30	Lech Poznan	0:0
31	Benfica	0:0
32	Celtic	0:0
33	Celje	0:0
34	Besiktas	0:0
35	Ferencvarosi	0:0
36	Ararat - Armenia	0:0