Internazionale Milano vs Parma: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Internazionale Milanovs
ParmaThe model puts Internazionale Milano at 85%. The model leans toward Internazionale Milano. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Internazionale Milano (9-4-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Internazionale Milano have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Parma have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Internazionale Milano have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Internazionale Milano is priced at 1.12.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | |||||
| 1 | 4 | 2 | ||||
| 2 | 9 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 12 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 13 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 11 | 4 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Internazionale Milano at 85%. The model puts the draw at 10%. The model puts Parma at 5%. The model's most likely scoreline is 4-0.
The market leans toward Internazionale Milano. Internazionale Milano is priced at 1.12. The draw is priced at 9.4. Parma is priced at 18.
Internazionale Milano have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. Parma have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Internazionale Milano have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Parma have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Internazionale Milano average 4 goals per game this season. Internazionale Milano average 66% possession. Parma average 1 goals per game this season. Parma average 39% possession.
The model gives 33% for both teams to score. The model gives 83% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Internazionale Milano or Parma?
Our model rates Internazionale Milano as the most likely outcome at 85% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Internazionale Milano vs Parma?
A scoreline around 4-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 9 Internazionale Milano wins, 4 draws, 2 Parma wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Internazionale Milano | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:8 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Milan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese Calcio | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:11 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza 1912 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:12 | 4 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bologna 1909 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:10 | 1 |
| 20 |  Unione Venezia | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4:13 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.