Cagliari Calcio vs Juventus: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cagliari Calciovs
JuventusThe model puts Juventus at 61%. The model leans toward Juventus. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Cagliari Calcio.
- +The head-to-head record favours Juventus (2-2-11).
- +Cagliari Calcio are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Juventus are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cagliari Calcio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Juventus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cagliari Calcio have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Cagliari Calcio will be without Idrissi, Trepy, Felici.
- Juventus will be without Osayuki J., Boga, Grabara, Yildiz, Lokatelli, Milik, Thuram-Ulien K..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Cagliari Calcio at 18%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Juventus at 61%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Juventus. Cagliari Calcio is priced at 6.7. The draw is priced at 4.06. Juventus is priced at 1.52.
Cagliari Calcio have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Juventus have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Cagliari Calcio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Cagliari Calcio are on 3 wins in a row. Juventus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Cagliari Calcio average 1 goals per game this season. Cagliari Calcio average 38% possession. Juventus average 2 goals per game this season. Juventus average 60% possession.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 54% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cagliari Calcio or Juventus?
Our model rates Juventus as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cagliari Calcio vs Juventus?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Cagliari Calcio wins, 2 draws, 11 Juventus wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Cagliari Calcio
- 1Caprile
- 2Pedro
- 4Romano
- 6Winks
- 8Adopo M.
- 10Fazzini
- 15Rodriguez
- 26Mina Yer.
- 31Mendy
- 33Obert A.
- 70Maldini D.
- Idrissi (Missing Player)
- Trepy (Missing Player)
- Felici (Missing Player)
Juventus
- 3Bremer
- 6Kelly Ll.
- 7Conceicao F.
- 9Kolo-Muani
- 12Luiz Dug.
- 15Kalulu Kyatengwa
- 17Alajbegovic
- 20Cambiaso A.
- 22McKennie
- 25Vicario
- 29Sarr
- Osayuki J. (Missing Player)
- Boga (Missing Player)
- Grabara (Missing Player)
- Yildiz (Missing Player)
- Lokatelli (Missing Player)
- Milik (Missing Player)
- Thuram-Ulien K. (Missing Player)
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Internazionale Milano | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 2 |  Roma | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Milan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone Calcio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese Calcio | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:11 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 15 |  Monza 1912 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:12 | 4 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 17 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 19 |  Bologna 1909 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 20 |  Unione Venezia | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4:13 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.