Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Sweden: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bosnia and Herzegovinavs
SwedenThe model puts Sweden at 47%. The model leans toward Sweden. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Sweden.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Bosnia and Herzegovina have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sweden have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sweden is priced at 2.13.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Bosnia and Herzegovina at 28%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Sweden at 47%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Sweden. Bosnia and Herzegovina is priced at 3.26. The draw is priced at 3.6. Sweden is priced at 2.13.
Bosnia and Herzegovina have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Bosnia and Herzegovina have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Sweden have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bosnia and Herzegovina or Sweden?
Our model rates Sweden as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Sweden?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina wins, 0 draws, 0 Sweden wins.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Scotland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Slovenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 |  Republic of North Macedonia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.