Fulham vs Crystal Palace: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Fulhamvs
Crystal PalaceThe model puts Fulham at 51%. The model leans toward Fulham. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Fulham.
- −The head-to-head record favours Crystal Palace (2-5-8).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Fulham have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Crystal Palace have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fulham have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Fulham is priced at 1.904.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | |||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | |
| 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |
| 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Fulham at 51%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Crystal Palace at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 3-1.
The market leans toward Fulham. Fulham is priced at 1.904. The draw is priced at 3.78. Crystal Palace is priced at 3.78.
Fulham have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Crystal Palace have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Fulham have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Fulham are on 2 wins in a row. Crystal Palace have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Fulham average 3 goals per game this season. Fulham average 79% possession. Crystal Palace average 3 goals per game this season. Crystal Palace average 41% possession.
The model gives 81% for both teams to score. The model gives 89% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Fulham or Crystal Palace?
Our model rates Fulham as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
A scoreline around 3-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Fulham wins, 5 draws, 8 Crystal Palace wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.