Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Columbus Crewvs
Inter MiamiThe model puts Inter Miami at 46%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Inter Miami.
- +Inter Miami score more per game (1.0 at home vs 2.0 away).
- −The head-to-head record favours Columbus Crew (7-3-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Columbus Crew have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Inter Miami have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Columbus Crew have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Inter Miami is priced at 2.144.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Columbus Crew at 32%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Inter Miami at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Inter Miami. Columbus Crew is priced at 2.97. The draw is priced at 4. Inter Miami is priced at 2.144.
Columbus Crew have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Inter Miami have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Columbus Crew have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Inter Miami have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Columbus Crew average 1 goals per game this season. Columbus Crew average 58% possession. Inter Miami average 2 goals per game this season. Inter Miami average 57% possession.
The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Columbus Crew or Inter Miami?
Our model rates Inter Miami as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 7 Columbus Crew wins, 3 draws, 3 Inter Miami wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
USA. MLS| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 53:23 | 46 |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 34:30 | 44 |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 45:36 | 44 |
| 4 |  Dallas | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 49:42 | 44 |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:38 | 42 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | 41 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 33:32 | 35 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 9 |  Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 10 |  San Diego | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 42:42 | 30 |
| 11 |  Austin | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 32:44 | 30 |
| 12 |  Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 37:39 | 29 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 14 |  Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25:30 | 28 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 29:63 | 18 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.