Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Los Angeles Galaxyvs
Colorado RapidsThe model puts Los Angeles Galaxy at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Los Angeles Galaxy creates more chances (14 vs 8 shots per game).
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Los Angeles Galaxy have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Colorado Rapids have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Los Angeles Galaxy have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Los Angeles Galaxy is priced at 2.208.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Los Angeles Galaxy at 44%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Colorado Rapids at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Los Angeles Galaxy is priced at 2.208. The draw is priced at 3.78. Colorado Rapids is priced at 2.984.
Los Angeles Galaxy have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Colorado Rapids have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Los Angeles Galaxy have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Colorado Rapids have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Los Angeles Galaxy average 1 goals per game this season. Los Angeles Galaxy average 50% possession. Colorado Rapids average 1 goals per game this season. Colorado Rapids average 54% possession.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Los Angeles Galaxy or Colorado Rapids?
Our model rates Los Angeles Galaxy as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Los Angeles Galaxy wins, 3 draws, 6 Colorado Rapids wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
USA. MLS| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 53:23 | 46 |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 34:30 | 44 |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 45:36 | 44 |
| 4 |  Dallas | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 49:42 | 44 |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:38 | 42 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | 41 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 33:32 | 35 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 9 |  Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 10 |  San Diego | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 42:42 | 30 |
| 11 |  Austin | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 32:44 | 30 |
| 12 |  Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 37:39 | 29 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 14 |  Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25:30 | 28 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 29:63 | 18 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.