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Russian Championship. League 2. Division A. Silver

Amkar Perm vs Dynamo Moscow II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Amkar Perm Amkar PermvsDynamo Moscow II Dynamo Moscow II
Our predictionAmkar Perm to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Amkar Perm at 72%. The model leans toward Amkar Perm. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Amkar Perm72%
Draw14%
2 · Dynamo Moscow II14%
1 · Amkar PermDraw2 · Dynamo Moscow II
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.53+18.8%
O/U 2.5Under 2.53.75+9.9%
1X2Dynamo Moscow II6.96+0.9%
1X2Draw6.30-0.3%
1X2Amkar Perm1.24-0.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Amkar Perm
75
Dynamo Moscow II
44

Expected goals

2.74Amkar Perm
xG
0.65Dynamo Moscow II
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score45%

Recent form

Amkar PermWLDLW
Dynamo Moscow IIWDLLL

Most likely scorelines

2-012.6%
3-011.5%
1-09.2%
2-18.2%
4-07.9%
3-17.5%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Amkar Perm Dynamo Moscow II

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Amkar Perm win1.24Fair (-0.6%)
Total goalsOver 2.51.19Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
032
1962
21383
31282
4852
543

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Amkar Perm at 72%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Dynamo Moscow II at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Amkar Perm. Amkar Perm is priced at 1.24. The draw is priced at 6.3. Dynamo Moscow II is priced at 6.96.

Amkar Perm have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Dynamo Moscow II have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.

Amkar Perm have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Dynamo Moscow II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 66% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Amkar Perm or Dynamo Moscow II?

Our model rates Amkar Perm as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Amkar Perm vs Dynamo Moscow II?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings: 1 Amkar Perm wins, 0 draws, 2 Dynamo Moscow II wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

7.315.784.242.711.18
Home 1.24 Draw 6.30 Away 6.96

League table

Russian Championship. League 2. Division A. Silver - Fall season
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Zenit Saint Petersburg II970225:423
2Tyumen962122:1219
3Amkar Perm742117:1113
4Torpedo Miass835013:139
5Dynamo Stavropol82428:158
6Dynamo Moscow II82517:207
7Irtysh Omsk91715:224
Promotion - Russian Championship. League 2. Division A. Gold (Spring season) Promotion - Russian Championship. League 2. Division A. Silver (Spring season) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.