Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Go Ahead Eaglesvs
Sparta RotterdamThe model puts Go Ahead Eagles at 55%. The model leans toward Go Ahead Eagles. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Go Ahead Eagles.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Go Ahead Eagles have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sparta Rotterdam have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Go Ahead Eagles have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Go Ahead Eagles is priced at 1.765.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 4 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | |
| 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Go Ahead Eagles at 55%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Sparta Rotterdam at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 4-1.
The market leans toward Go Ahead Eagles. Go Ahead Eagles is priced at 1.765. The draw is priced at 4. Sparta Rotterdam is priced at 4.22.
Go Ahead Eagles have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Sparta Rotterdam have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Go Ahead Eagles have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Sparta Rotterdam have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Go Ahead Eagles average 4 goals per game this season. Go Ahead Eagles average 69% possession. Sparta Rotterdam average 3 goals per game this season. Sparta Rotterdam average 39% possession.
The model gives 83% for both teams to score. The model gives 94% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Go Ahead Eagles or Sparta Rotterdam?
Our model rates Go Ahead Eagles as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?
A scoreline around 4-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Go Ahead Eagles wins, 3 draws, 6 Sparta Rotterdam wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Netherlands. Eredivisie| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 25:7 | 17 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21:9 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 11 |  N.E.C. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6:20 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.