Telstar vs ADO Den Haag: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Telstarvs
ADO Den HaagThe model puts Telstar at 51%. The model leans toward Telstar. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Telstar.
- +The head-to-head record favours Telstar (6-6-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Telstar have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- ADO Den Haag have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Telstar have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Telstar is priced at 2.005.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24 | 12 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 22 | 11 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Telstar at 51%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts ADO Den Haag at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Telstar. Telstar is priced at 2.005. The draw is priced at 3.68. ADO Den Haag is priced at 3.52.
Telstar have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. ADO Den Haag have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
Telstar have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. ADO Den Haag have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Telstar average 1 goals per game this season. Telstar average 61% possession. ADO Den Haag average 0 goals per game this season. ADO Den Haag average 46% possession.
The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 17% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Telstar or ADO Den Haag?
Our model rates Telstar as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Telstar wins, 6 draws, 3 ADO Den Haag wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Netherlands. Eredivisie| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 25:7 | 17 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21:9 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 11 |  N.E.C. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6:20 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.