PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
PEC Zwollevs
CambuurThe model puts PEC Zwolle at 48%. The model leans toward PEC Zwolle. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Cambuur.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- PEC Zwolle have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cambuur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- PEC Zwolle have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- PEC Zwolle is priced at 1.91.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24 | 13 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 21 | 11 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts PEC Zwolle at 48%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Cambuur at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward PEC Zwolle. PEC Zwolle is priced at 1.91. The draw is priced at 3.92. Cambuur is priced at 3.64.
PEC Zwolle have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Cambuur have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
PEC Zwolle have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Cambuur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
PEC Zwolle average 0 goals per game this season. PEC Zwolle average 31% possession. Cambuur average 1 goals per game this season. Cambuur average 64% possession.
The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 17% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, PEC Zwolle or Cambuur?
Our model rates PEC Zwolle as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 12 meetings: 6 PEC Zwolle wins, 1 draws, 5 Cambuur wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Netherlands. Eredivisie| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 25:7 | 17 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21:9 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 11 |  N.E.C. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6:20 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.