Celta vs Juventus: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Celtavs
JuventusThe model puts Juventus at 47%. The model leans toward Juventus. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Juventus.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Celta have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Juventus have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Celta have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Juventus is priced at 2.075.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Celta at 27%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Juventus at 47%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Juventus. Celta is priced at 3.48. The draw is priced at 3.5. Juventus is priced at 2.075.
Celta have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Juventus have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Celta have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Juventus have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Juventus are on 2 wins in a row.
Celta average 0 goals per game this season. Celta average 54% possession. Juventus average 5 goals per game this season. Juventus average 48% possession.
The model gives 77% for both teams to score. The model gives 81% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Celta or Juventus?
Our model rates Juventus as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Celta vs Juventus?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Celta wins, 0 draws, 1 Juventus wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Europa League - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  AC Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Ferencvarosi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 |  OFI Crete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 10 |  Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 12 |  S.C.U. Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Olympiacos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 |  Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 |  AC Omonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 18 |  Stade Rennais | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 19 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 20 |  Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia Bialystok | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 23 |  Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 24 |  Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 25 | Celta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 26 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 |  Celtic | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 29 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 30 |  Milan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 31 |  Celje | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 |  Olympique de Marseille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 |  Ararat - Armenia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 34 |  Viktoria Plzen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 36 |  N.E.C. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.