Ferencvarosi vs Viktoria Plzen: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ferencvarosivs
Viktoria PlzenThe model puts Ferencvarosi at 51%. The model leans toward Ferencvarosi. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Ferencvarosi.
- −The head-to-head record favours Viktoria Plzen (1-2-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Ferencvarosi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Viktoria Plzen have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ferencvarosi have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Ferencvarosi is priced at 1.91.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ferencvarosi at 51%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Viktoria Plzen at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Ferencvarosi. Ferencvarosi is priced at 1.91. The draw is priced at 3.84. Viktoria Plzen is priced at 3.7.
Ferencvarosi have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Viktoria Plzen have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ferencvarosi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Viktoria Plzen have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Ferencvarosi average 3 goals per game this season. Ferencvarosi average 37% possession. Viktoria Plzen average 0 goals per game this season. Viktoria Plzen average 49% possession.
The model gives 55% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ferencvarosi or Viktoria Plzen?
Our model rates Ferencvarosi as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ferencvarosi vs Viktoria Plzen?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 1 Ferencvarosi wins, 2 draws, 2 Viktoria Plzen wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Europa League - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  AC Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Ferencvarosi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 |  OFI Crete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 10 |  Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 12 |  S.C.U. Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Olympiacos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 |  Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 |  AC Omonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 18 |  Stade Rennais | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 19 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 20 |  Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia Bialystok | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 23 |  Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 24 |  Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 25 |  Celta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 26 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 |  Celtic | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 29 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 30 |  Milan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 31 |  Celje | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 |  Olympique de Marseille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 |  Ararat - Armenia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 34 | Viktoria Plzen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 36 |  N.E.C. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.