Arbroath vs Queen's Park: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Arbroathvs
Queen's ParkThe model puts Arbroath at 51%. The model leans toward Arbroath. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Arbroath have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Queen's Park have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Arbroath have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Arbroath is priced at 1.747.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Arbroath at 51%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Queen's Park at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Arbroath. Arbroath is priced at 1.747. The draw is priced at 3.22. Queen's Park is priced at 4.51.
Arbroath have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Queen's Park have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Arbroath have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Queen's Park have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Arbroath or Queen's Park?
Our model rates Arbroath as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Arbroath vs Queen's Park?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Arbroath wins, 1 draws, 8 Queen's Park wins.
League table
Scotland. Championship| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stenhousemuir | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11:2 | 19 |
| 2 |  Raith Rovers | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 3 |  Partick Thistle | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:2 | 12 |
| 4 |  Dunfermline Athletic | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 5 |  Livingston | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 6 |  Ayr United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Arbroath | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:9 | 8 |
| 8 |  Inverness | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3:11 | 4 |
| 10 |  Greenock Morton | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4:13 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.