Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk vs Volgar Astrakhan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorskvs
Volgar AstrakhanThe model puts Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk at 50%. The model leans toward Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk.
- +The head-to-head record favours Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk (9-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Volgar Astrakhan have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk is priced at 1.96.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk at 50%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Volgar Astrakhan at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk. Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk is priced at 1.96. The draw is priced at 3.22. Volgar Astrakhan is priced at 3.47.
Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. Volgar Astrakhan have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Volgar Astrakhan have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk or Volgar Astrakhan?
Our model rates Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk vs Volgar Astrakhan?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 9 Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk wins, 1 draws, 4 Volgar Astrakhan wins.
Odds movement
League table
Russian Championship. League 2. Division A. Gold - Fall season| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rodina Moscow II | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:7 | 23 |
| 2 |  Dynamo Kirov | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Dynamo Bryansk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 4 |  Sibir Novosibirsk | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 5 |  Dynamo Vladivostok | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 6 |  Alania Vladikavkaz | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 7 | Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Volgar Astrakhan | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 9 |  Sokol Saratov | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 10 |  Kaluga | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5:11 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.