Dynamo Kirov vs Sokol Saratov: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dynamo Kirovvs
Sokol SaratovThe model puts Dynamo Kirov at 58%. The model leans toward Dynamo Kirov. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Dynamo Kirov (7-2-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dynamo Kirov have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sokol Saratov have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dynamo Kirov have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Dynamo Kirov is priced at 1.61.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dynamo Kirov at 58%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Sokol Saratov at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Dynamo Kirov. Dynamo Kirov is priced at 1.61. The draw is priced at 3.5. Sokol Saratov is priced at 4.975.
Dynamo Kirov have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Sokol Saratov have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Dynamo Kirov have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Sokol Saratov have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dynamo Kirov or Sokol Saratov?
Our model rates Dynamo Kirov as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dynamo Kirov vs Sokol Saratov?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 12 meetings: 7 Dynamo Kirov wins, 2 draws, 3 Sokol Saratov wins.
Odds movement
League table
Russian Championship. League 2. Division A. Gold - Fall season| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rodina Moscow II | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:7 | 23 |
| 2 | Dynamo Kirov | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Dynamo Bryansk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 4 |  Sibir Novosibirsk | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 5 |  Dynamo Vladivostok | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 6 |  Alania Vladikavkaz | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 7 |  Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 8 |  Volgar Astrakhan | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 9 | Sokol Saratov | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 10 |  Kaluga | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5:11 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.