Asian Games

South Korea U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

South Korea U23vs

Saudi Arabia U23

Our predictionSouth Korea U23 to win

Model score: High · 68/100

Score hint: 2-0

The model puts South Korea U23 at 65%. The model leans toward South Korea U23. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours Saudi Arabia U23.
−The head-to-head history is finely balanced.

Win probabilities

1 · South Korea U2365%

Draw20%

2 · Saudi Arabia U2315%

1 · South Korea U23Draw2 · Saudi Arabia U23

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.75+7.7%

1X2Saudi Arabia U238.00+3.5%

1X2Draw4.60+0.1%

1X2South Korea U231.31-3.6%

BTTSYes1.94-7.7%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

South Korea U23LLLLL

Saudi Arabia U23WWWDW

Team strength rating

South Korea U23

Saudi Arabia U23

Most likely scorelines

2-014.7%

1-014.3%

3-010.1%

2-19.0%

1-18.7%

0-07.0%

Expected goals

2.06South Korea U23

0.61Saudi Arabia U23

Over 2.5 goals50%

Both teams to score40%

Match DNA

South Korea U23 Saudi Arabia U23

Key points

South Korea U23 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Saudi Arabia U23 have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
South Korea U23 have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
South Korea U23 is priced at 1.31.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2South Korea U23 win1.31Fair (-3.6%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2
0	7	4	1
1	14	9	3
2	15	9	3
3	10	6	2
4	5	3
5	2	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts South Korea U23 at 65%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Saudi Arabia U23 at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward South Korea U23. South Korea U23 is priced at 1.31. The draw is priced at 4.6. Saudi Arabia U23 is priced at 8.

South Korea U23 have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Saudi Arabia U23 have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

South Korea U23 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Saudi Arabia U23 have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Saudi Arabia U23 are on 3 wins in a row.

The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →