Asian Games

Vietnam U23 vs Uzbekistan U23: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Vietnam U23vs

Uzbekistan U23

Our predictionUzbekistan U23 to win

Model score: Medium · 38/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Uzbekistan U23 at 54%. The model leans toward Uzbekistan U23. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−The head-to-head record favours Vietnam U23 (3-0-0).

Win probabilities

1 · Vietnam U2320%

Draw26%

2 · Uzbekistan U2354%

1 · Vietnam U23Draw2 · Uzbekistan U23

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes2.11+4.5%

1X2Vietnam U234.97+1.8%

1X2Draw3.35-0.6%

1X2Uzbekistan U231.65-1.2%

BTTSNo1.64-4.5%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Vietnam U23

Uzbekistan U23

Most likely scorelines

0-112.8%

1-111.6%

0-210.5%

1-29.6%

0-07.8%

1-07.0%

Recent form

Vietnam U23WLWWL

Uzbekistan U23WDLLD

Expected goals

0.91Vietnam U23

1.65Uzbekistan U23

Over 2.5 goals47%

Both teams to score48%

Match DNA

Vietnam U23 Uzbekistan U23

Key points

Vietnam U23 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Uzbekistan U23 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Vietnam U23 have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Uzbekistan U23 is priced at 1.65.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Uzbekistan U23 win1.65Fair (-1.2%)

Double chanceUzbekistan U23 or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	13	11	6	2
1	7	12	10	5	2
2	3	5	4	2
3		2	1
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Vietnam U23 at 20%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Uzbekistan U23 at 54%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Uzbekistan U23. Vietnam U23 is priced at 4.97. The draw is priced at 3.35. Uzbekistan U23 is priced at 1.65.

Vietnam U23 have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.

Vietnam U23 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Uzbekistan U23 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →