Southall vs Dorking Wanderers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Southallvs
Dorking WanderersThe model puts Dorking Wanderers at 72%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dorking Wanderers is priced at 1.24.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Southall at 12%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Dorking Wanderers at 72%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Dorking Wanderers. Southall is priced at 8.15. The draw is priced at 5.65. Dorking Wanderers is priced at 1.24.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Southall or Dorking Wanderers?
Our model rates Dorking Wanderers as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Southall vs Dorking Wanderers?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.