Fiji vs Republic of Vanuatu: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Fijivs
Republic of VanuatuThe model puts Fiji at 48%. The model leans toward Fiji. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Republic of Vanuatu.
- +The head-to-head record favours Fiji (8-5-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Fiji have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Republic of Vanuatu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fiji have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Fiji is priced at 1.95.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Fiji at 48%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Republic of Vanuatu at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Fiji. Fiji is priced at 1.95. The draw is priced at 3.6. Republic of Vanuatu is priced at 3.455.
Fiji have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. Republic of Vanuatu have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Fiji have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Republic of Vanuatu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Fiji or Republic of Vanuatu?
Our model rates Fiji as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Fiji vs Republic of Vanuatu?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 8 Fiji wins, 5 draws, 2 Republic of Vanuatu wins.
Odds movement
League table
Friendlies. National Teams| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Australia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Cameroon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  China | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Curacao | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.