Hungary vs Georgia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hungaryvs
GeorgiaThe model puts Hungary at 48%. The model leans toward Hungary. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hungary have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Georgia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hungary have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hungary is priced at 1.992.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Hungary at 48%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Georgia at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Hungary. Hungary is priced at 1.992. The draw is priced at 3.48. Georgia is priced at 3.78.
Hungary have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Georgia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Hungary have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Georgia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hungary or Georgia?
Our model rates Hungary as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hungary vs Georgia?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Hungary wins, 0 draws, 1 Georgia wins.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Scotland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Slovenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 |  Republic of North Macedonia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.