Tenerife vs Cadiz: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tenerifevs
CadizThe model puts Tenerife at 56%. The model leans toward Tenerife. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Tenerife.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Tenerife have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cadiz have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tenerife have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Tenerife is priced at 1.736.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Tenerife at 56%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Cadiz at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Tenerife. Tenerife is priced at 1.736. The draw is priced at 3.6. Cadiz is priced at 5.
Tenerife have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Cadiz have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Tenerife have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Cadiz have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tenerife or Cadiz?
Our model rates Tenerife as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tenerife vs Cadiz?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 5 Tenerife wins, 5 draws, 4 Cadiz wins.
League table
Spain. Segunda Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellon | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:2 | 16 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 3 |  Mallorca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:2 | 13 |
| 4 |  UD Almeria | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 5 |  Burgos | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 |  Sabadell | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Leganes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 8 |  Girona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 9 |  Sporting de Gijon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 10 |
| 11 | Tenerife | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Real Oviedo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Granada | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 15 |  Celta Fortuna | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cordoba | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Eldense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 18 |  Real Valladolid | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:8 | 5 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 20 |  Andorra Andorra la Vella | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 9:13 | 3 |
| 21 |  Albacete Balompie | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3:16 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.