← All predictions
Japan. Japan Football League

Okinawa SV vs Tiamo Hirakata: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Okinawa SV Okinawa SVvsTiamo Hirakata Tiamo Hirakata
Our predictionOkinawa SV to win
Model score: Low · 24/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Okinawa SV at 37%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Okinawa SV37%
Draw27%
2 · Tiamo Hirakata35%
1 · Okinawa SVDraw2 · Tiamo Hirakata
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.15+4.6%
1X2Okinawa SV2.43+0.6%
1X2Draw3.22-0.2%
1X2Tiamo Hirakata2.50-0.3%
BTTSYes1.60-4.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
1-010.3%
0-19.0%
2-18.7%
1-27.6%
0-07.4%
Team strength rating
Okinawa SV
53
Tiamo Hirakata
51

Expected goals

1.39Okinawa SV
xG
1.21Tiamo Hirakata
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Okinawa SV Tiamo Hirakata

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Okinawa SV win2.43Fair (+0.6%)
Double chanceOkinawa SV or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07952
1101283
27952
3342
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Okinawa SV at 37%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Tiamo Hirakata at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Okinawa SV is priced at 2.43. The draw is priced at 3.22. Tiamo Hirakata is priced at 2.5.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Okinawa SV or Tiamo Hirakata?

Our model rates Okinawa SV as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Okinawa SV vs Tiamo Hirakata?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.383.112.842.582.31
Home 2.43 Draw 3.22 Away 2.50

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.