Niroye Zamini vs Fard Alborz: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Niroye Zaminivs
Fard AlborzThe model puts Niroye Zamini at 36%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Niroye Zamini have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fard Alborz have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Niroye Zamini is priced at 2.51.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Niroye Zamini at 36%. The model puts the draw at 32%. The model puts Fard Alborz at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Niroye Zamini is priced at 2.51. The draw is priced at 2.72. Fard Alborz is priced at 2.81.
Fard Alborz have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Niroye Zamini have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Fard Alborz have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Niroye Zamini or Fard Alborz?
Our model rates Niroye Zamini as the most likely outcome at 36% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Niroye Zamini vs Fard Alborz?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Niroye Zamini wins, 0 draws, 2 Fard Alborz wins.
Odds movement
League table
Iran. Azadegan League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Naft Masjed Soleyman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Saipa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Niroye Zamini | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Sanat Mes Kerman | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 5 |  Shahin Bandar Ameri | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 |  Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Fard Alborz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 |  Mes Rafsanjan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 9 |  Naft Gachsaran | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Pars Jonoubi Jam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 11 |  Besat Kermanshah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 |  Havadar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 13 |  Shenavar Sazi Qeshm | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 14 |  Foolad Khuzestan II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Kara Gostar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 16 |  Ario Eslamshahr | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.